Newsletter By 2022-04-08
【Judgement & Forecast】 To begin with, the "Bucha Massacre" incident added fresh factors to the war's stalemate. Since the Russia-Ukraine crisis began, Zelenskyy has spoken to the world every day, but there are fewer and fewer materials for him to utilize. The stalemate of war has dragged down Russia but has dragged down Ukraine as well. Then, the "Bucha Massacre" incident "suddenly" emerged, providing Ukraine with additional material. It may well be a turning point where Zelenskyy may remind the international community that Russia is not only Ukraine's opponent, but the world's enemy. The Russian military is relentless in its 'carnage'. The "Bucha Massacre" incident sparked outrage due to the killings, which by all standards will be a crime against humanity. It will surely incite widespread aversion to Russia in Ukraine and throughout the world. This, in turn, will enhance the West's military help to Ukraine, extending the war even further. Both the war and the international environment will become increasingly adverse to Russia in the future. What will a Russia in such a dilemma do? This is still to be seen. What is certain is that the continuation and worsening of the Russia-Ukraine conflict will pose enormous hazards to the whole globe.
>> 【KC's Column】 Facing the ongoing war in Ukraine, Germany is stuck in a dilemma. It needs Russia’s natural gas supply, yet on the other hand, it does consider the conflict in Ukraine to be a major issue as it is closely related to the security of NATO, to Germany's trustworthiness and moral commitments in the international community. The CDU government in Germany and the German corporate oligarchs are still hold on to things that have ceased to exist for decades, and they have been continuously supporting Putin's Russia, the very threat to Europe. The technology and resources exported to Russia indeed, have strengthened Russia, and Germany itself is one of the root causes of the invasion of Ukraine, said
Kung Chan, ANBOUND's founder.
>> Modern warfare is competitive for comprehensive national strength and national strategic resources. A country's strategic resource status depends on its geographic location, land mass, population quality, topography, geological structure, as well as whether these resources can be reasonably developed, transported, stored, distributed, and consumed. Strategic resources are the material basis for preparing for and conducting wars. They determine a country's potential ability to support wars, directly affect the process and outcome of wars, and are an important basis in formulating national and military strategies. Looking at the war in Ukraine, researchers at ANBOUND discussed the strategic resources that matter to national security the most can be "weaponized", including energy, food, military, and industrial sectors.
>>The "Provisions on Strengthening Confidentiality and Archives Administration of Overseas Securities Offering and Listing by Domestic Companies" has recently been issued by China Securities Regulatory Commission. This is one measure that China applies to regulate China-U.S. audit cooperation. This rare progress in the bilateral relations, given the existing economic frictions and inhibitions, provides an insightful reference for future cooperation between the two countries. As pointed out by ANBOUND, China is looking forward to cooperate with the United States in finance industry. The development of the Chinese market and companies are open to cooperation on the basis of rules and regulations, and this direction might become China's future policy orientation.
>>It is relatively easy for Russia to maintain strict financial and monetary controls in its domestic market against the West’s sanctions. Under such circumstances, the Russian financial system, which is now de facto closed to the outside world, can avoid a collapse for the time being. The long-term losses and damage to the Russian financial system are certain. There used to be a "market" for Russia, but now there is only a "window". For the moment, this "window" is useful for Russia, its banks, and its people. However, maintaining and stabilizing the financial system with severe regulations can only have temporary effects. From a macro perspective, it will bring the long-term damage of being cut off from the outside world, which may last for a generation or more.
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